When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream Populations

N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib

The Astrophysical Journal·2026submitted

When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream PopulationsWhen Streams Curve Awaysubmitted
Likelihood ratio between CDM and SIDM plotted against the observed fraction of streams with a convex segment, for catalogs of 100, 1,000 and 10,000 streams. The curves steepen with catalog size; at 10,000 streams, either predicted rate is strongly favored.

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted·N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib·The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide.

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide. In a spherical halo a stream cannot curve this way in projection; in a triaxial halo, which cold dark matter predicts, it can. The test needs only the stream’s projected track and the host’s center: no distances, velocities or model of the stream’s progenitor.

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Paper Figure 4

Paper Figure 4. Convex arc-length fraction of two different kinds of simulated streams, across viewing angles. The particle spray simulation uses the same initial condition and triaxial NFW potential as Figure 3, while the -body comes from Nibauer et al. (2023). Left: sky-plane projections of particle-spray (top) and -body (bottom), each shown at the viewing angle specified with a white star and an orange cross in the right plot. Red segments mark the convex portions; the black cross denotes the CoM. Right: Mollweide projections over all viewing directions for particle-spray simulation 1 (cividis, labeled 1) and -body simulation 2 (viridis, labeled 2). Panels are otherwise as in Figure 3, which shows convexities in orbits. This figure extends that result to streams, finding visible convexities in particle-spray and -body streams.