When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream Populations

N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib

The Astrophysical Journal·2026submitted

When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream PopulationsWhen Streams Curve Awaysubmitted
Likelihood ratio between CDM and SIDM plotted against the observed fraction of streams with a convex segment, for catalogs of 100, 1,000 and 10,000 streams. The curves steepen with catalog size; at 10,000 streams, either predicted rate is strongly favored.

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted·N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib·The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide.

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide. In a spherical halo a stream cannot curve this way in projection; in a triaxial halo, which cold dark matter predicts, it can. The test needs only the stream’s projected track and the host’s center: no distances, velocities or model of the stream’s progenitor.

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Paper Figure 3

Paper Figure 3. Fraction of a projected orbit that appears convex, across viewing angles, for two orbits in a triaxial NFW potential. Left: sky-plane projections of Orbit 1 (top, ) and Orbit 2 (bottom, ), each shown at the viewing angle specified with a red dot in the right plot. Red segments mark the convex () portions; the cross denotes the CoM. Dotted segments show where Orbit 2 (never Orbit 1) passes within of the CoM, where baryonic contributions are more significant. Right: Mollweide projections over all viewing directions for Orbit 1 (viridis, labeled 1) and Orbit 2 (cividis, labeled 2). At each pixel, the color encodes the fraction of the projected orbit that appears convex when viewed from that direction. White dotted great circles mark the mean orbital plane of each orbit; viewing directions lying on these circles see parts of the orbit edge-on. The brightest regions are the viewing angles at which the largest convex fraction is visible.