When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream Populations

N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib

The Astrophysical Journal·2026submitted

When Streams Curve Away: a Test of Dark Matter from Extragalactic Stellar Stream PopulationsWhen Streams Curve Awaysubmitted
Likelihood ratio between CDM and SIDM plotted against the observed fraction of streams with a convex segment, for catalogs of 100, 1,000 and 10,000 streams. The curves steepen with catalog size; at 10,000 streams, either predicted rate is strongly favored.

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted·N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, et al.N. Starkman, J. Nibauer, S. Pearson, S. Wu‡, L. Necib·The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

The Astrophysical JournalApJ·2026submitted

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide.

How often stellar streams curve away from their host galaxy’s center can tell cold from self-interacting dark matter at up to 5σ, with catalogs the size Euclid, Rubin and Roman will provide. In a spherical halo a stream cannot curve this way in projection; in a triaxial halo, which cold dark matter predicts, it can. The test needs only the stream’s projected track and the host’s center: no distances, velocities or model of the stream’s progenitor.

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Paper Figure 1

Paper Figure 1: Mock observation of the GD-1 stream: the stream's ridge line (black) reprojected onto the sky plane as if viewed from outside the Galaxy, at the viewing angle  (lower left) that maximizes the convex f
Paper Figure 1. Mock observation of the GD-1 stream: the stream's ridge line (black) reprojected onto the sky plane as if viewed from outside the Galaxy, at the viewing angle (lower left) that maximizes the convex fraction of the track. Cyan arrows show the on-sky curvature direction; gray arrows show the inward radial direction, toward the projected CoM (black dot at the origin). The curvature points away from the CoM along the entire track; the track is everywhere convex. This convexity is inconsistent with any static, centrally-concentrated potential axisymmetric about the viewing direction, including all spherical potentials.